Ember
We prove the market wrong.
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- @emberfyi
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- Analytics & Monitoring
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- Freemium
About Ember
Ember is a public AI prediction engine built on a simple premise: an AI that won't show its work isn't worth trusting. Every morning at 7AM EST, three genuinely different AI models, Claude (Anthropic), Grok (xAI), and Gemini (Google), independently call live Polymarket markets before they resolve. They don't consult each other. When they disagree with the crowd by 10+ points, that divergence is flagged as a high-conviction signal. Every call is timestamped before the outcome. Accuracy is tracked using Brier scores, a calibration metric that rewards both accuracy and confidence. The model that beats the crowd most consistently across 365 days wins. Nothing is edited after the fact. Every wrong call gets a post-mortem. The record builds in public.
Product Insights
Ember serves as an automated prediction analytics platform that leverages independent AI models to analyze live Polymarket data. The system tracks calibration via Brier scores and provides public, timestamped performance records for Claude, Grok, and Gemini.
- Multimodel verification using Claude, Grok, and Gemini models.
- Transparent accuracy tracking with Brier scores and mandatory post-mortems.
- Real-time signal detection based on 10-point crowd divergence thresholds.
- Timestamped public record ensures data integrity and accountability.
Ideal for: This platform is designed for users interested in predictive analytics and crowd-divergence signals across various prediction markets.
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Proving the market wrong is a bold framing most founders need that reality check. At Bunzee, we take a data-first approach to this problem. What is your biggest insight when market data contradicts founder assumptions?